Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 1.475304 1.847698 2.350114 3.109099 4.291405 6.199234 9.885295
2025-08-17 1.046679 1.448831 2.089753 3.301826 5.916689 12.875623 47.810694
2025-08-24 0.816285 1.193716 1.855987 3.303386 7.300171 24.900510 885.894501
2025-08-31 0.664573 1.004223 1.636548 3.156939 8.203533 44.775524 NaN
2025-09-07 0.588395 0.919454 1.575311 3.329095 10.657005 144.106281 NaN
2025-09-14 0.521311 0.833485 1.479315 3.346650 12.787766 735.796572 NaN
2025-09-21 0.462487 0.750674 1.364424 3.238082 14.198222 29632.884423 NaN
2025-09-28 0.418587 0.689020 1.280905 3.185708 16.184610 NaN NaN
2025-10-05 0.401489 0.677688 1.312989 3.573270 25.160471 NaN NaN
2025-10-12 0.379214 0.651498 1.300497 3.790875 36.003745 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 0.352339 0.611331 1.241208 3.767607 43.873604 NaN NaN
2025-10-26 0.324922 0.566521 1.160018 3.594588 46.892304 NaN NaN
2025-11-02 0.307767 0.542982 1.135084 3.703775 66.519597 NaN NaN
2025-11-09 0.295244 0.528284 1.132491 3.944187 117.049733 NaN NaN
2025-11-16 0.278877 0.502739 1.092397 3.944775 165.992557 NaN NaN
2025-11-23 0.260651 0.470989 1.027805 3.755047 179.462693 NaN NaN
2025-11-30 0.251883 0.460434 1.026342 3.977915 428.801882 NaN NaN
2025-12-07 0.240483 0.442397 0.997860 4.000722 848.928936 NaN NaN
2025-12-14 0.227638 0.419728 0.950800 3.859886 1127.627766 NaN NaN
2025-12-21 0.217033 0.401608 0.915880 3.792158 2091.531706 NaN NaN
2025-12-28 0.214926 0.403919 0.948731 4.296585 NaN NaN NaN
2026-01-04 0.209723 0.398016 0.952746 4.583036 NaN NaN NaN
2026-01-11 0.201494 0.383765 0.925058 4.552298 NaN NaN NaN